Alberta Soap Box 🇨🇦

Comments Effecting Canadian Events – Ken McGregor

Alberta Separation – Stay Or Go

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With this China flu debacle and the oil price collapse Alberta has been devastated . With tens of thousands unemployed and bankruptcy’s piling up and with little help from Trudeau, it’s starting to smell like desperation is just around the corner. The thing is, even if Trudeau threw a few billion our way, it’s only a short term fix. What Alberta needs for long term growth is for its energy industry to find new markets and start growing, and to diversify its economy. . An almost impossible task in todays tightly controlled and competitive markets and with the hysteria of the environmental movement . The question is, would it be wise for Alberta to sidestep these obstacles by looking at options outside of Confederation? for-instance, Could Alberta separate from Canada and do better or could Alberta have a sovereign association with Canada? Maybe Alberta could simply join the US. Is it even reasonable for Alberta to leave Canada and strike out on its own.

The first obstacle Alberta would have to contend with in order to start the process to separate, would be to follow key points of the Canadian legislation which gives the house of commons a lot of power in the process. The house can actually override the referendum if it felt it violated the clarity act even with a majority.

The key points of the legislation included the following:

  • Giving the House of Commons the power to decide whether a proposed referendum question was considered clear before the public vote;
  • Specifically stating that any question not solely referring to secession was to be considered unclear;
  • Giving the House of Commons the power to determine whether or not a clear majority had expressed itself following any referendum vote, implying that some sort of supermajority is required for success;
  • Stating that all provinces and the First Nations were to be part of the negotiations;
  • Allowing the House of Commons to override a referendum decision if it felt the referendum violated any of the tenets of the Clarity Act;
  • The secession of a province of Canada would require an amendment to the Constitution of Canada.

Personally I doubt that a ruling Liberal party would ever allow Alberta to separate. The House of Commons has too much power. New separation rules would have to be put in place to stand a chance of success ,otherwise the process could drag out forever under the present Clarity act rules.

Oil is a big part of Albertas economy. Albertans can’t plan their future on yesterdays hay-day. As we have just found out, if the oil market is not tightly controlled, it can result in chaos. When the Saudis and Russia couldn’t agree on production quotas, combined with the COVD19 catastrophe Albertas oil became worthless. The fact is, there is no free market competition in the oil industry. If Alberta did separate, how can Alberta compete in this controlled atmosphere? The powers to be are not going to just give up and let Alberta steal their markets without a fight. I believe a separate Alberta with a strong dependence on oil exports would not win the battle for new markets. We would most likely only be able to keep our US market providing we have a friendly government in the Whitehouse. Keeping Alberta’s present US oil market becomes a gamble if we separate.

The bottom line is, Alberta separation is a very complicated issue that could take a decade to sort out and the Trudeau liberals know it. Over the past 5 years the liberals with their media friends have been breaking down Alberta’s power, influence and generous reputation, leaving Albertans with little to work with or cheer about, in a bid to get rid of conservatism and bring Alberta into his new world technocracy. They have done a real number on Alberta.

In order for Alberta to get back into the game, I would think the best way forward would not to have a referendum on sovereignty or join the US but a referendum on a new deal in confederation. This way Alberta can write its own question without the House of commons interfering. This will give Alberta a platform to start the ball rolling and let the rest of Canadians understand how important and generous Albertas contributions have been and will be. It will also let Canadians know Alberta needs help now and how serious the situation is. Also, Albertans wouldn’t look a bunch of trouble making RADICALS. This would also allow Albertans time to look ahead at a sovereign platform if needed later on.

Western separatist parties that have sprung up lately will do more harm than good. All they will accomplish is to split the conservative vote . I FIND THIS VERY SUSPECT. Why would any conservative minded group want to split the Alberta conservative vote after living through the NDP. Very suspicious . Very unproductive .

Albertans and the Alberta government know they have a problem with the federal liberals. Obstructing pipelines, billions in transfer payments, unfair carbon tax , using covid19 to power grab to mention a few. Only as one united conservative party committed, ready and willing to take action can Alberta work out a plan to move ahead to prosper. Separation or secession to the US isn’t the answer that Alberta needs at this time in its history.

Written by Ken McGregor

April 24, 2020 at 3:31 pm

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