Alberta Soap Box 🇨🇦

Comments Effecting Canadian Events – Ken McGregor

Archive for the ‘Oil Sands’ Category

Alberta Oil- Cloudy Days Ahead

leave a comment »


Alberta is still hoping for the good old days and hitching its wagon on pumping up oil production in the hope it can get its oil to tide waters to sell to International market. Even if by some chance Alberta does get its tidewater Pipeline, will the international market be there to sell too?

Within the next 20-25 years oil being used for gasoline will be a thing of the past with the emerging electric car. Presently gasoline represents about 47% of all oil production. With the electric car moving into the market place this share of the oil market will inevitability shrink. For those that don’t believe that electric cars can compete with the gasoline automobiles, better think again. The folks that didn’t believe the horse and buggy could be replaced by the gasoline driven car were sadly mistaken and devistated when their industry disappeared. Ironically the buggy loyalists were using many of the same reasons the horse and buggy couldn’t be replaced as todays naysayers are using against the electric car.

In 2018, Americans used about 143 billion gallons of motor gasoline—or about 391 million gallons per day. Ninty Two Percent (92%) of of all gasoline consumed in the US was from Light-duty vehicles (cars, sport utility vehicles, and small trucks) which are now being converted to electric. Forty seven percent (47%) of all oil production is going to be replaced by electric. Today just drive down the street and see how many cars are 20 years or older. Not many. In 20 years you will drive down the street and see just a few gasoline driven vehicles. The major car companies are all jumping on the bandwagon. Even diesel 18 wheelers are being tested using electric engines. The transition to electric will take a big bite out of oil producers world wide, not just Alberta.

With electric cars getting GOOD milage, between 300-480 kilometres on a full charge and QUICK charging within 30 minutes the transition is underway. In 2020 there is going to be at least 11 new models coming to market. Fords company’s CEO Mark Fields said that he wants 40% of Ford’s nameplates to have an electrified version by 2020. There is no turning back.

We are now at the stage the Ford model T was when it was first introduced. It was too expensive for the average person to buy. 15 years later it was everywhere thanks to the invention of the assembly line. The horse and buggy disappeared within 20 years along with all the industries that supported it.

Today is not the first time the world has transitioned into a new more efficient energy. Today’s s change has very little to with climate change (global warming) and everything to do with efficiency and profit. The public and business can charge their own vehicles plus no expensive engine work. All the cons of electric car ownership are disappearing.

With electric transportation moving its way up the S curve , the seventy percent (70%) of a barrel of oil going to produce gasoline and diesel will be cut back drastically. This shift is going to have a very negative future impact on Alberta and Albertans especially if your under 40 years old. We will still be producing oil but a lot less. Every other oil producing country has the same problem. Alberta will have some very tough competition just to keep some of the US market that we have enjoyed over the years. Trying to be the new kid on the block in an international marketplace desperate to sell their product will be all but impossible.

Alberta has to stop its fixation on pipelines and oil and start thinking how we can jump on board this new energy wave. If we don’t we will take our place in history beside the horse and buggy manufactures. Not a pleasant thought.

Written by Ken McGregor

August 23, 2019 at 6:01 pm

Alberta – Think Forward not Separation

with one comment


Horse and buggy 1901

Progress moves very swift. In 1900 the horse and buggy was the transportation of the day . Within 13 years the model T was being mass produced bringing the price within the working class budget ending the horse and buggy era for good along with all those businesses supporting it. Those who didn’t heed the new technology were wiped out. It’s time Alberta learn a lesson and start thinking forward .

Norton Greene, a U.S. historian “People lose not from some fault of their own, but because they are in the wrong place in history.”

Investing in pipelines is like the buggy makers in 1905 making plans to expand their manufacturing capacity just as cars were about to take over the transportation industry in 10 years. There were 10,000 buggy makers now there is only a handful. I’ll bet they wished they had geared up for the new transportation revolution. According to Bloomberg, by 2040, 54 percent of all new car sales will be for EVs. Maybe sooner.

Alberta’s obsession with pipelines is blinding Albertans from perusing or even discussing opportunities needed for the future . The billions earmarked for pipelines could be used in Alberta for new industries that could supply jobs and prosperity for decades. Why invest billions into the oil industry when it’s become obvious that the federal government and foreign forces are blocking any attempts to reach a shipping port. Yesterday the US Democrats we’re blocking the Keystone Pipeline,today China is blocking all Canadian meat products over a diplomatic row. Its become obvious China and countries like them are not a stable client for Alberta oil unless we concede to their every whim. I wouldn’t want to bet my future on this type of erratic client.

Approximately 25% of oil productions  is used for transportation. With electric vehicle production gaining steam (just like the gasoline powered car did with the buggy) less gasoline will be needed. It only took 25 years for the main source of ground transportation in early 1900 (HORSE AND BUGGY) to all but disappear. Today we are in the midst of moving from the combustion engine to the electric engine.

The same arguments for not using cars over the horse and buggy are being used today against electric vehicles.

  • Cars won’t work in the snow and cold. Only a horse is reliable.
  • Can only fill your car up in the city. No gas stations.
  • Car is to expensive for the average family.
  • repairs too costly.

Of course all these problems were worked out and by 1928 Ford sold 15 million model T’s. The horse and buggy was history

Again like the model T in its time, an Israeli start-up has claimed an electric plane it is building will revolutionize commuter travel and will be set to test in 2019. There is no question we are in the midst of another industrial revolution.

I think Albertans have to stop playing into Trudeau’s divide and conquer. Let Jason Kenny fight the battle with the federal liberals.  While Kenny does his part Albertans would be wise to think less about about the good old glory days in the past and separation and start a conversation on what can carry Albertans into the future while we still have oil revenue incoming in.

The future is not the horse and buggy.

Written by Ken McGregor

June 26, 2019 at 6:10 pm

Seriously! Notley’s Alberta’s Pipeline Champion

leave a comment »


The push to get a seaport for Alberta oil has all but disappeared. Less than a few years ago Alberta and Canada was  optimistically debating the need to ship Alberta oil to the east or west so we could sell our oil internationally and get top dollar instead of discounting our product traveling to the US. Today there are only a handful of diehards still pushing for a Gateway or the Energy East Pipeline. Politician are now shifting our attention to yet another pipeline project, the twinning of Kinder Morgan’s Trans Mountain Pipeline that presently supply’s BC ,Washington and the new upgrade at Westridge Marine Terminal to overseas. The Project will increase the system’s capacity from 300,000 barrels a day to 890,000  and allow us to enter new international markets that could result in Canada earning approximately $3.7 billion more per year and breaking the stronghold the US has on our oil.

Yes! That’s Notley on the side protesting Alberta oil and pipelines

Just like the Gateway and Energy East, the Trans Mountain  pipeline debacle has become laughable  . We now have two socialist NDP parties, Alberta’s Premier Rachel Notley’s and BC’s Premier John Horgan’s who both don’t want a Pipeline, going to WAR on new, already federally approved, Trans Mountain pipeline should proceed from Alberta through BC to Burnaby. Notley, an anti pipeline protester, has now become Alberta’s champion . It’s absurd!

It’s become obvious there are very powerful forces that don’t want Alberta heavy oil to get to a sea port via pipeline.  Ironically shipping oil by train and truck doesn’t seem to grab the harsh headlines as does oil pipelines. Also it’s very strange that over the past few years a new addition to the Westridge Marine terminal on the west coast has been approved and is under construction to handle more oil tankers (filled by pipe or train) with little protest except for the ‘Trudeau Brigade’. This a protest group who hangs on PM Trudeau’s encouraging words “that the people have the final say” not the federal government .

So Whats with the hyperbole of a trade war between Alberta and BC?

New BC Westridge Marine Terminal to Overseas.

Power for one. The federation of Canada is being challenged on its authority . if the federal government doesn’t have the power to make national decisions in the public interest we end up with a country that is destabilized. The only group that would benefit from this would be socialist who can showcase how ineffective our system is. The trade war isn’t about a pipeline, it’s about power and control. Alberta oil is going to flow. Bills have to be paid.

The fact is premier Notley, Horgan,PM Trudeau and federal NDP leader Jagmeet Sing are all on board with the trade war chaos. This is why I think ‪an Alberta trade war with BC is all smoke and mirrors! I think Alberta will be sucked down the well. Real champions like UPC Leader Kenny and all conservatives  have to come up with a better way than a trade war to enforce jurisdictions,  save Alberta’s oil industry and save the Canadian free enterprises way. Cutting off oil ,wine etc to BC might get Alberta politicians votes in the short-term but won’t solve anything. Alberta needs a long-term plan. A plan that Notley can’t steal from UCP Jason Kenney come election time. In the meantime using train to transport oil is the option.

Alberta Oil Sands – Environmentalist Gone Mad

with one comment


Alberta Oil Sands – Environmentalist gone Mad

Written by Ken McGregor

October 26, 2017 at 5:01 pm

North Korea Nukes – Baloney!

leave a comment »


Written by Ken McGregor

October 19, 2017 at 5:25 pm

The Liberal War on Nationalism

leave a comment »


“Concentrated power is not rendered harmless by the good intentions of those who create it”  – Milton Friedman
I haven’t bothered to blog over the past few months simply because not much new has happened. Its been the same old Trump bashing, BLM, Islam brainwashing ,fake news day after day. You can turn off the news and come back 2 weeks later and the Main Stream Media is still pushing the same stories. But after listening to PM Trudeau omit (not forget) Alberta in is July 1 speech and the outrages 10 million dollar Kahdar payout I thought I would pen a few words outlining the agenda.

The battle between the globalist (liberals/Multi nationals)  and the nationalist (conservatives) on ‘Global Redesign’ has become obvious and down right nasty especially in the US. Trudeau and Obama have repeatedly down played nationalism with Trudeau calling Canada post national and Obama just this July 4th 2017 preaching that US citizens should be less patriotic. Both arguing that individual countries are no longer dominant as per the World Economic Form report.

Quote from the World Economic Forum:

The World Economic Forum’s report on the future of global governance, “Global Redesign,” posits that a globalized world is best-managed by a coalition of multi national corporations, nation-states (including through the UN system) and select civil society organizations. The report argues that states no longer are “the overwhelmingly dominant actors on the world stage and that “the time has come for a new stakeholder paradigm of inter national governance”.

If you’re a liberal you are probably cheering for the new stakeholder paradigm of inter-national governance. But if you’re a nationalist like me, that believe in global free trade, this global Redesign is a disaster. I’m proud to be a Canadian and want to be governed by Canadians, not some world corporate organization that was formed to push for a new form of global governance.

Until now the globalist ‘Redesign’ Liberals have been winning the battle. But the nationalist have begun a comeback  with the election of Trump and the evolving of the fiscally conservative Generation Z. Yes, Generation Z could be the lifeline the nationalist like myself have been looking for.

Generation Z is pegged to be born between 1995 to 2010. The group is estimated to be over 1.9 billion worldwide, about 27% of the population. In Canada its estimated around 7.3 million or 22% of the Canadian population. It’s also estimated that 84% identified as a fiscal conservative. That’s huge. In the next 11 years they will all be of voting age.

Generation Z, unlike their millennial parents, will be a competitive, hard-working, mobile generation that will act more like their grandparents and great grandparents due to the recessions and tough job situation they have both been brought up in. Like their great grand parents they will put a high priority on saving money. This sounds like conservative values to me.

Regardless of what Trudeau or Obama think, I can’t imagine Canada being run by a global governance similar in fashion to the European Union where big decisions are made out of a central government in Brussels, Belgium with very little public input. The EU is a financial nightmare. We can make our own decisions and negotiate our own global trade deals like Alberta oil without the likes of a fascist World Economic Forum engineering our future. This liberal/corporate movement is trying to  destroy nationalism, suppress opposition and control industry and commerce. 

I think the tide is turning. With more information getting out to the public and Generation Z coming up to voting age , ‘Global Redesign’ is going to have some heavy  opposition. Conservatism will win the day.

Written by Ken McGregor

July 4, 2017 at 8:50 pm

Canada – Radical Islam

leave a comment »


Islamic terrorists are out in full force around the world. The Palm Sunday bombing killing 43 innocent souls at a Coptic church in Egypt, the Westminster bridge killing in London, the Saint Petersburg train attack killing 10 and injuring dozens are just a few of the most recent. The world has been plagued with terrorist attacks around the world. The good news is most of the Muslims are peaceful and do not support terror. The bad news is 15-25% of the 1.6 billion Muslims can be classified an Extreme Islamic Muslim . That’s a minimum of 150 million extremist shouting ‘Death for the sake of Allah’ are ready to fight for Islam. The worst part is they are not centralized in one area. These extremist are positioned all over the globe making it impossible to wage a successful traditional attack. This is really a screwed up position for the western world to be in. The questions are how did we get in this terrifying position and whats being done to ease the tension?

There is probably many reasons for why the Islamic terrorist threat grew so fast. One reason is that ISIS was able to recruit immigrants that were not being allowed into any of the 55 Muslim countries. Being country less, no money and no place to go these immigrants were glad to have an offer to be a citizen of the new caliphate. It didn’t matter that the Qur’an was being interpreted in a very selective way and that Islam was hijacked by extremists. When your down and out and only one person offers you a hand up you take it. The Arab would failed.

Not listening to the radicals have also put us behind the eight ball. The Islamic extremist have in the past blamed western foreign policy for all their problems. We (the people) believed if we eliminate these problems we would have peace. The grievances were just rhetoric, secondary to the real reason they hate us which is because we are infidels. They will  hate us until we all believe n Allah. The west simply failed to recognize this.

As Joe bieden said “you never let a good crisis go to waste”. In this case the Liberal left has used the Muslim immigration problem to their advantage. The Muslim migration crisis is a fit for the liberal ‘culture war’ that is being waged on western countries to destabilize their economies so they can be ushered into the boarderless society or the New World Order as some call it.

While the main street media the likes of CNN and CBC is spouting  out propaganda in the west, the Muslim countries are also deep in the propaganda war. They are telling their people it’s an act of self-defence to fight America. America wants to destroy us and is the cause of all our problems. It’s always the Wests fault. This is how the extreme Islamic leaders persuaded their followers to go and fight. By demonizing the West they are indoctrinating followers to their radical interpretations of the Qur’an and inciting hate to produce todays terrorist.

I’m sure you have heard that radical Islam only encompasses a small part of the 1.6 billion Muslims world-wide. Since there is no standard of measuring what percentage of the extremists are part of the 1.6 billion (Pew Research) I’m using 15% to 25% according to all the intelligence services around the world .  This could mean we are looking at up to 300 million people dedicated to the destruction of Western civilization. It’s really hard to wrap your head around the problem.

In 1938, just before world war 2, the British PM Neville Chamberlin thought he could have peace with Hitler. Through his appeasement foreign policy, Chamberlin conceded the Sudetenland region of Czechoslovakia to Hitler. The PM went back to Britain proclaiming a war had been averted and there was peace. Just a few months later Hitler attacked Poland and WW2 started. Chamberlin didn’t understand how radical Hitler was and gave him a huge advantage. History appears to be repeating itself. Radical Islam is demonizing the west like Hitler demonized the jews. Appeasement doesn’t work of radicals.

There is only one argument we can put forward to try to stem the forward momentum of these radical Islamists. We have to get the 75% liberal Muslim’s on our side, giving them safety from the crazies and a voice to counter the hate. We can’t lump them into the same boat as the extremist. If we do, that’s where they will end up. If they do side with the extremist we will have a catastrophic problem that will be impossible to solve.

Interesting video; Islam religion needs a review

Written by Ken McGregor

April 10, 2017 at 6:24 pm